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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Ron Oda who wrote (532)8/18/1996 11:55:00 AM
From: Knighty Tin   of 132070
 
Ron, I will look up the article, but the concept is basically the party line on No Tasks 4.0. I disagree with the party line on this issue for several reasons. First, 4.0 doesn't work yet, which I would consider a problem for businessmen. Second, businesses are going to be reluctant to spend the money to upgrade when they have yet to pay for their 486s and the 486s do everything important that needs to be done. Third, NT 4.0 requirs infinitely more care and feeding than other corporate systems, which is another cost. Fourth, pcs have been a dud on the productivity front. I refer to a great book called "The Trouble With Computers," by Tom Landauer (MIT Press). If they can't pay their way, hard-nosed businessmen will not choose to allocate a huge amount of their scarce resources to them. So, I think some trendy companies in the tech, financial, and media industries will upgrade, I think most will continue to give No Tasks 4.0 the big yawn it has received so far. PC, like many computer magazines, seems to think money for upgrades grows on trees. It doesn't. MSFT has downplayed No Tasks 4.0 and now estimates it will sell 800,000 licenses the first year of introduction. Otherwise known as a non-event. I'll read the article, but I think it will be the standard industry rah-rah. As Information Week's cover story said recently, it is time for a reality check on NT 4.0. Even long-time MSFT clients have decided to hold off upgrading until 1997 or 1998 at the earliest. MB
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