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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: mishedlo who wrote (71025)10/6/2006 12:28:31 PM
From: GST  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
<I AM NOT CALLING THIS DEFLATION> It is hard for me to see that you are contributing much to the conversation other than pointing out that there are a variety of ways in which prices fluctuate over relatively short periods of time. Short term price fluctuations are noise -- they are what you would expect.

We have been in a long term inflationary trend for decades and are likely to be in that trend for as far as the eye can see. Within that trend, prices vary. This seems more or less trivial. There is no data to support the contention that the trend has changed from inflation to deflation, and no "logic" that stands up to serious inquiry that would lead us to believe that the trend will shift. The area for debate is how bad will inflation be, not whether there will be deflation.
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