ep, my guess? china will effective do nothing to any effect, because nothing short of full blockade will work, whereas a full blockade can only lead to no good corner, unless china is willing to obliterate n.korea and p*ss off the s.koreans forever, a task best left to the americans
no upside in china making any move, and so just more wait and see, in this era of democratization of nukes
in the meantime, s.korea is definitely under the bomb, and whatever the response, including getting own bomb, will not likely lead to good outcome
japan will most assuredly go for the bomb, especially if s.korea reacts by getting own bomb
the next line to be crossed by n.korea would be export of nuke know-how, which is too obvious a line, and so will likely be crossed at some point
between nukes, mini-subs, and suicidal soldiers, n.korea has fashioned the structure enabling regime-survival forever, whatever the nasty regime, and this know-how is in demand because of bush policy of supposed preemption
unless bush is bluffing, he had best to carry through with the threat of preemption, else, ... well, let us see
bush's foreign policy initiatives, one of which is to provoke and antagonize n.korea, but without sincere effort to engage and talk, are so far so off base, and so, all eyes on bush
not that i think any other approach with n.korea would have worked
still, the old advise against bluffing is valid, more so when bluff is called, even if at inconvenient time
china had not put down any lines to be crossed, and had not promised any responses other than discussion, and so nothing to wait for in terms of new proclamations
i can just see n.korea's olympic game float now, in 2008, in beijing, a giant missile tipped with a huge nugget of plutonium
given that n.korea exports fake USD, perhaps the homeland would do well to introduce electronic counterfeit-proof dollars, which of course would also improve domestic surveillance and taxation
i imagine the US military industrial complex is jubilant, now that there is so much more to do and buy
j |
