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Strategies & Market Trends : Contrarian Investing

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From: pcyhuang	10/11/2006 10:12:41 PM
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AA -- Contrarian Alerts! Alcoa, Inc. (NYSE AA @$26.85) produces primary aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina worldwide. Market Cap (intraday): 23.28B Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 12.63 Forward P/E (fye 31-Dec-07) 1: 8.61 PEG Ratio (5 yr expected): 0.91 Price/Sales (ttm): 0.86 Price/Book (mrq): 1.71 EBITDA (ttm)/Revenue (ttm): 6.1 Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy): 18.90% Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy): 61.70% Book Value Per Share (mrq): 16.524 52-Week High (11-May-06): 36.96 52-Week Low (14-Oct-05): 22.28 Insiders' transactions and institutional support: Recent option exercises and open market purchase ranging from $22 to $34 per share. Each of 3 ETFs has AA as one of its top 10 holdings. Capitulated Volume: 31,524,900 shares traded on Oct. 11 vs. 3-month daily average 6,705,950 shares. Conclusion: Value + Insiders' and institutional support + capitulated volume = Timely contrarian investment with favorable risk-reward ratio. pcyhuang

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