SoT, to 'find evidence for that', you need to be 'assumption-based'. You make an assumption and then go out and test against reality.
The more your assumption is validated, the more power it has. Of course is not possible to test your assumptions against all kinds of facts, but once you have a few good tests you can believe your assumptions are true.
Say I would assume: "There's plenty of oil remaining to be discovered".
I need to go out and test this assumption against reality.
Yes, there is oil beneath 2.000m of water, and then 3.000m of sand and rock and 2.000m of salt in Santos basin and Petrobras found it.
Oil there is bit it needs to cost perhaps 150/barrel to be economically feasible.
Yes, there is a lot of oil to be discovered in places subject to previous embargoed, like Iran, Iraq and Libya, (Libya now coming back after embargo lifted.) Russia which was devoid of technology and money and everything was secret.
Yes, there is a lot of oil artificially placed out of reach, places like: Coast of Florida, Coast of California, and places environmentalists press not to drill.
Then we could add to that…
One thing that blocks people form doing that is because the persons most interested in discovering the truth have vested interests and fail to test properly.
I did that for several cases very important issues:
1989: The real economic miracle was Germany to keep its stand it achieved after WWII. Got it right at a time they were acquiring Eastern Germany and were the locomotive of Europe. I’m right.
1989: There were huge potential for poor countries to become rich and it was easier from then to get rich than to continue being poor. They required what I used to call production sharing (today is called Globalization). I sued to write that they need to use a jiu-jitsu tactic. Use the power of the adversary to defeat them. Here is China to prove me right...
All that by testing my assumptions against reality...
Need to add:
1989: South Africa and Israel are not viable countries and will not survive as they are.
1995: Indonesia is a paper tiger and is a disaster waiting to happen.
Most were my contributions to Perception International a think tank of Ridgefield Connecticut |
