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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: Road Walker who wrote (307763)10/26/2006 3:25:13 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 1571773
 
I thought the goal was regime change in the ME so democracy could flower? Isn't that why we have our troop there?

Lower oil prices would hardly help democracy in Iraq.

Never mind, it's an entirely different argument: Is there more of a threat of terrorism if the ME is rich or poor?

Its hard to tell, all we have is speculation. If you totally buy in to the "clash of civilizations" argument, and think that all or most of Islam will be against the west then it would perhaps reduce terrorism if the oil price went down, but I don't really buy in to that argument (at least not as something more than a potential unlikely worst case scenario), and apparently you don't either (as you call it crap).

As for regime change collapsing in other countries helping democracy? Well it might, but probably only in the long run and in the mean time you might get a lot more terrorism. If the Saudi government collapsed you would be very unlikely to get a liberal democracy in its place. I'd guess you would be more likely to get a Islamic theocracy, or I guess its possible you could get a break up of the country (in which case at least part of it would probably be under an Islamic theocracy).

Even places where there is a nascent democracy like Iraq and Afghanistan, you apparently have at least a short term, and perhaps medium term increase in terrorism. If governments start collapsing across the middle east you would almost certainly get an increase.
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