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Strategies & Market Trends : Contrarian Investing

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From: pcyhuang10/26/2006 9:57:38 PM
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RHAT -- Contrarian Alert!

Red Hat, Inc. (NASD RHAT @$14.83), together with its subsidiaries, provides open source software solutions to the enterprise primarily in the United States.

Market Cap (intraday): 2.84B
Trailing P/E (ttm, intraday): 39.23
Forward P/E (fye 28-Feb-08): 22.13
PEG Ratio (5 yr expected): 1.24
Price/Sales (ttm): 11.12
Price/Book (mrq): 5.04
EBITDA (ttm)/Revenue (ttm): 3.60
Qtrly Revenue Growth (yoy): 51.70%
*Qtrly Earnings Growth (yoy): -34.00%
Book Value Per Share (mrq): 3.872
Operating Cash Flow (ttm): 200.45M
Levered Free Cash Flow (ttm): 95.29M
52-Week High (08-May-06)3: 32.48
52-Week Low (26-Oct-06)3: 13.70

*Qtrly earnings are not comparable because of RHAT's new option expense policy.

Insiders' and instutional support:

Each of 10 indices include RHAT as one of its components, and each of 10 mutual funds has RHAT as one of its top 10 holdings. Most insiders' recent option awards with exercise price 50% higher than current market's.

Capitulated Volume:

RHAT traded 113,197,468 shares on Oct. 26 versus an avg vol (3m) of 7,689,900 shares.

Conclusion: Value + Insiders' and institutional support + capitulated volume = Timely contrarian invstment with favorable risk-reward potential.

pcyhuang
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