You 'doubt'.
OK. Can you EXPLAIN why you think that?
Why do you think otherwise? Your advancing the theory. Its up to you to convince me.
Leaving now would result in a decline in American credibility and an increase in the credibility, energy, popularity, and power of our enemies. You hope that different factions of our enemies will focus solely on fighting each other. I don't consider that to be a very solid theory. You also hope that in the long run their conflict can discredit and weaken them. I don't think you can count on that, and even if you could you would have large problems in the meantime.
I DID explain that that was the *long-term* HOPE... but then I explained all sorts of short and mid-term benefits that would immediately accrue for us!
The only short term benefit I see is that we get to (at least of the moment) stop paying the cost in lives and money that we are paying in Iraq. What other short term benefit do you see?
Re: "...Just pulling our of Iraq will give a boost to the forces that you hope to discredit."
(Funny... 'Cause US Intelligence has ALREADY concluded that STAYING as occupiers is RIGHT NOW providing the extremists a *huge boost* in support!)
That study also said pulling out without accomplishing the mission would provide a big boost to the support for extremists. It directly supports my claim, and you conveniently ignore that fact.
There are no 'guarantees'... but bitter religious and ethnic-fired civil wars do TEND to *FOCUS* quite a bit the attentions and resources of the societies that have spawned them. :-)
I think you exaggerate the extent of the likely war, and if there is such a war you neglect the fact that it would tend to push people to extremes, increasing the power of extremists even as they are fighting each other. You also assume there will be no winner, at least for some time. I don't think that's a safe assumption, and any winner could easily emerge as more powerful, while the losing side is radicalized while still not totally destroyed. Both sides could be more dangerous than now, certainly the winning side could be.
Re: Certainly should one side or the other win, even on a local scale, it can build itself a base and expand its power."
And if pigs could FLY there would be bacon in the SKIES.
And maybe if pigs could fly you could make a coherent relevant response to this point. Hopefully you can even if pigs remain on the ground.
Re: "No they are not. They are a factor, in certain ways or places, a major one, but they don't totally call the shots. However they might under your plan."
R-I-G-H-T..........
Yes, quite right. |
