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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: GST who wrote (73739)11/6/2006 3:08:26 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
The fun of these sudden rallies is that they are very predictable -g- Some stats from Bulldog on prubear forum

1% down days...
It's been 80 days since the last 1% down day; 4.11 standard deviations away from the norm; 1 in 51,817. It's been 905 days since the last 2% down day; 6.1 standard deviations away from the norm; 1 in 89,017,830. Notice this number is actually dropping. This streak is so big that it is having a material impact on the odds of a 2% down day. We are due to break the all time record on 12/18/2006.

-14 S&P points by 2:30 Eastern;

1999__33
2000__42
2001__42
2002__29
2003__13
2004___2
2005___1
2006___2
_____164___Total

Only 5 times in the last 3 years.

Manipulation is illegal.
If the Dems win both houses, I think there is a possibility
of a BK. The market is betting otherwise, since voting is
electronic. No paper trail, it didn't happen.
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