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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: kris b who wrote (73917)11/9/2006 12:42:20 PM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
He-he. You got that right. Got to be careful being invested long, cause when
when they pull the rug, it could be over quickly and you'd have
huge losses. Doesn't make sense to short it either. I'd say
a small long calls position makes sense. When it plunges, all you
lose is the premium. A small leap OOM put position also makes sense,
cause when this blows up, the market will tank, and increased
volativity will raise your time premium, if not make your puts
in the money. That has been a huge loser so far, though -
the big drop just never happens, so it's like playing a lottery.

I am looking at USD and bonds, the big derivative markets, to
show the way to the meltdown. USD broke the uptrend today, and
that's not good, but the dollar-yen is fine, and the interest
rates markets are calm.
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