I think we need more impartial an opinion on the subject than third hand information about someone's views, no matter their accreditation. Some scientists say this, some say that. I know triple PHd's whose avocation is modeling climate change and they don't agree at all that the problem is clearly man made. Nor do they agree that "most scientists agree". The statistics of who agrees on what must yield only to a study, not an anecdote.
What is clear is that the mechanism of climate change due to greenhouse gases increase in the amounts so represented by human contribution is not easily tied to the actual temperature rise.
Fess up, what a lot of knee jerk scientist say is not the truth. 3% of CO2 is man made. What the scientist would have you believe, is that if we double that contribution to 6%, then there will be major heat increase. They base this on 100 years of badly collected data, which shows in log scale a meagre 1 degree celsius rise in earth temperature. Despite the correlation with the rise in CO2 emissions, many excursions in the past have surpassed this rise by an order in magnitude without any corresponding known rise in CO2. So they tell you there is a correlation today, but when there is none, they throw up their hands?
Sea levels were much higher in 525 and 900 AD. What caused that? What caused they mini ice age of the 1300's? Nobody knows. Admit that. Did CO2 get sucked out of the atmosphere to cause the last 3 ice ages? Did you know that the summers must cool slightly and the winters warm overall to cause an ice age? What happens to the average temperature then? Warmer or colder overall? Guess what. It's warmer. Do the math.
The same scientists thought Marilyn Vos Savant was numerically illiterate when she propounded that the Monty Hall problem probability of a goat or cadillac changed when the game show host opened one door. She was jeered at by 10,000 academics. She was right. The academics were wrong. 10,000 more scientists were wrong about DDT harming the environment, and 10,000 scientists were wrong about agent orange being harmless. I would say it is a rough rule that the more scientists concur the wronger they are. They laughed at Oliver Heavyside, and they laughed at Rachel Carson. They were right, the knee jerkers were wrong.
I am not saying CO2 cannot cause global warming. I say with confidence that they do not know it does. I am absolutely sure that Jet Contrails cause global warming. 9-11 proved they do. The data is in. The grand experiment is done. But CO2 at 3% of the total CO2? dunno. dunno. |