SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Corel - Investors with no Humor

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: David A. Lethe who wrote (131)9/28/1997 6:17:00 PM
From: revbill   of 1094
 
hello again david

out of respect for the other users of this thread i think we should
keep our comments focused on corel. excerpts of our earlier posts with additional
comments follow:

3. CEO resigns?? Stock goes up 75%?!!

i suggested if cowpland packed it in the stock might go up $2CDN which
would be just under 40%. i exaggerated slightly for comedic effect but
him leaving would definitely cause a move up.

4. New blood comes in and figures out how to sell the product line.
*OK, I'll accept that. We agree that this is possible, even probable.

so the guy from dell appears to be the best chance at turning things
around. someone else has said that corel has hired 30 new salespeople.
if they target a market niche, do an excellent job of selling and servicing
it, they may be able to gain enough market share to succeed. remember that
they only need a small slice of the huge suite pie to be profitable.

5. BOD purposely underestimates Q4 to surprise stockholders?!!
This just isn't done, and I am sure you were kidding on it :)

i made this comment as an observation on past practices. in previous
quarters they have stuffed the channels and reported better results than
they should have. my cynical side could see them underestimating Q4 dropping
the stock price even further (which did happen) and then showing better
results them expected (say $90 to $100 million). when these results
are reported and the stock moves up Dr. C pats himself on the back for
increasing shareholder value and then throws a big party at investor expense
of course.

i concluded my post by saying
>i fully realize that there are at least as many negative scenarios but i'm not sure if
selling now is the right thing to do. experienced investors use times like this to
average down.

your reply was
>I disagree, again.
More experienced investors DON'T HAVE to average down. They saw it coming,
and got out with a 10-15% loss.

you are probably right, although they pre-announced bad results but dr.c
suggested at that time that good results were just ahead. when the actual
results were released they dropped the other shoe. was this foreseeable?

at this point i would like to invite mr. bean to respond to the average down
versus sell at 10-15% loss question.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext