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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: ild who wrote (74321)11/18/2006 9:44:27 PM
From: CalculatedRisk  Read Replies (3) of 110194
 
I don't think the chart was created today (11/18). More likely it was created yesterday based on the closing data for Thursday.

That seems to make sense: the odds of 5.5% fell, probably because of the low CPI.

Why the odds of 5.0% also fell is unclear - maybe because the other data on Thursday (Philly Fed, Capacity Util.) was OK.

I bet we will see a reverse for the 5.0% odds on Monday based on the weak Housing data.
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