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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: longnshort who wrote (312734)11/28/2006 9:27:29 AM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (1) of 1572201
 
How do you know?

If you have a cycle that goes like this:
...higher temps...higher CO2...higher temps...higher CO2...higher temps...higher CO2...higher temps...higher CO2...

You say that the higher temps come hundreds of years before higher CO2. But maybe those higher temps came AFTER the previous CO2 level rise. There is a simple way to test for this using statistics (Granger causality: en.wikipedia.org ). It would be interesting to know if the scientist whose article you posted knew what he was doing when he came to the conclusion that higher temperatures cause higher CO2 levels. Sounds to me like he might have made a statistics 101 mistake.

It's almost like saying that if your house gets hot inside the heater will come on. Instead of saying if you turn on the heater the house will get hotter. Again, that scientist's conclusions don't pass the smell test.
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