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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI)

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To: Elwood who wrote (4080)	9/29/1997 1:24:00 PM
From: Ian@SI	of 25960

Good response from Carl J. - and a very different tone from the article which was posted on this thread last week. However, I still don't believe that we should regard analysts as deities - not even Brett Hodess. The Wall Street Journal rates the actual performance of the analysts. Neither Brett H nor Jay Deahna made the top 5; and those that did make the top 5 didn't look like they deserved our worship neither. Note a median return of 29% when the S&P 500 was up by more than 36%. The leaders were: Stock-Picking Skill -- (of 30 analysts in group; median return 29%) Name Firm Return David Wu* ABN AMRO/Chicago 100 Larry Borgman Josephthal Lyons Ross 61 William Milton* Brown Brothers 60 Mark Edelstone Prudential Securities** 51 Rajiv Chaudhri Goldman Sachs 44 Winner in more than one category Now with Morgan Stanley Estimate Accuracy -- (of 30 analysts in group) Name Firm Factor Michael Gumport Lehman Brothers 0.69 Scott Randall SoundView Financial 0.70 William Milton Brown Brothers 0.73 David Wu* ABN AMRO/Chicago 0.78 Thomas Kurlak Merrill Lynch 0.79 FACTOR compares the analyst's performance relative to the Consensus of all analysts. i.e. - a FACTOR of 1 means the analyst did as well as the consensus. Less than 1 is better, more than 1 is worse. Ian.

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