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Strategies & Market Trends : Analysis Class for Beginners
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From: Arthur Tang12/2/2006 5:02:25 AM
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Currently in December 2006, the market has advanced 15% in the index of the exchanges. This will filter down to the mundane stocks. Wall street is on their toes for fear of a correction. But softlanding means new products in the ways of obsolescence and replacement theory of our economy are already on the market(X'mas).

Wall street had underestimated the size of cash on the side lines. Resulting in Microsoft short interest going from 74 million shares to 144 million shares without substantial nice moves. Microsoft has yet to cross the threshold of $30 barrier. Microsoft had been a $98 stock and reputed to have $60 billion in cash alone.

Now that a new product(Vista) is released. the market makers have to change their middleware which so far had pennies up and down regardless of volume. The middleware has to conform to elliotwave trends to properly value Microsoft Vista performance. 2007 sales projection is 100 million copies of Vista sold at $100 preinstalled. A $10 billion revenue. But I projected 135-150 million copies including AMD computers, because of many years of declining sales of XP operating systems.

So, the current Microsoft stock is still building a base. Then we can expect some excitement as elliotwave type technical analysis kicks in.
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