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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: cnyndwllr who wrote (210111)	12/7/2006 8:19:56 PM
From: Mary Cluney	Read Replies (1) of 281500

So is the Iraq study group that stupid, are they that Machiavellian or am I missing something? Ed, You have to respect experience. Jim Baker is known as the velvet hammer for good reason. Look at his resume and look at his track record. Look at what he did in Gulf War I. He put together a real coalition. The coalition paid for the war. He flipped Syria. He is no fool. He is against this war. He wants us out. What do we have to lose by trying to flip Syria and Iran? Jim Baker has this president cornered. He is going to get us out of Iraq with an outside chance of settling the Israel situation. What do we have to lose if we just flat out leave Iraq? If we leave, full scale civil war erupts in Iraq. Syria and Saudi Arabia would have to come to the aide of their Sunni brothers. Iran would have to enter the conflict. Turkey will inevitably be drawn in. The whole region face chaos. Is that what Syria and Iran would like to see happen? I don't think so. I think they may want to enter into talks with the US. What if they don't act rationally? What do we have to lose? Suppose they shut down oil coming out of the ME? We lose 25% of world oil supplies. Oil goes up to $200 a barrel. We would have to cut back on consumption. We would have to go into conservation big time. We have to search for alternative energy sources. Solar becomes economically viable. The ME is in chaos, but at the end of the day, we would be better off. We have nothing to lose if we adopt the Baker/Hamilton plan.

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