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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: mishedlo who wrote (75821)12/16/2006 5:19:02 PM
From: pogohere  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
It seems pretty clear that imports have kept prices of goods lower than they would have been. I think it's fair to call this disinflation. The Chinese have been expanding credit in China for the purpose of building productive enterprises. With their low labor costs, we have a disinflation in the price of their exports. How long this continues is debatable.

The question then becomes what we use as a measure of inflation understood as a rise in prices. If we effectively leave out the stock markets and housing prices when we measure inflation as price rises, and we play games with bs like hedonic valuations, we miss the effect of the expansion of liquidity and credit. The official figures on CPI do just that: they don't measure the real universe of prices, mismeasure productivity and give false readings of inflation.
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