In 2003 liberals were hyping a Dean-Clark ticket, which would have lost 45 states. In 2002 Lieberman was the frontrunner.
At the time Dean was being hyped by all the pundits like Obama is now and he had gained a 20% lead on Kerry. But those polls meant nothing because they weren't votes. Did DEan win a single primary? Vermont maybe.
Dean, Obama, Edwards and Hillary all have one thing in common, average swingvoters cannot envision them being the commander in chief, especially compared to McCain.
A lot of people just don't get it. Especially for president, Middle America is not interested in electing non-centrist liberals, especially liberal blacks, and they also have a real problem envisioning a female commander in chief.
I'd put the odds of who will be the Dem nominee now at 33% Gore (if he runs he gets it), 20% Hillary, Obama and Kerry, 7% Edwards, 5% Biden, 5% Clark. And more importantly, only Gore Or Kerry can actually beat McCain who I am close to predicting will be the GOP nominee.
Think I might just put some money down on Gore and Kerry. Those are great odds being offered by Vegas now. It's also possible Hillary and Obama won't run, as well as Gore for that matter. |
