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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (25529)12/18/2006 11:03:54 PM
From: Spekulatius  Read Replies (2) of 78714
 
re SJT - this royalty trust looks overvalued regardless what MCDEP says. My argument is simply that a depreciating asset with a 7% dividend yield is expected to earn (everything else being equal) less than 7% because the depreciating rate need to be subtracted from the current yield to estimate the current return. So for a reserve life of 30 Years, i would tend to subtract roughly 3% to arrive at the current net return and 4% won't cut it for me.

I do not now MCDEP math but it's clear that SJT's gas won't flow forever. Of course returns could be higher if NG get's more expensive but in this case there are much more profitable investment around to profit from NG price appreciation.
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