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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (76150)12/20/2006 6:22:42 AM
From: Mike Johnston  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
When you take into account the amount of money that is being printed around the world, this market has been posting very negative real returns for the past few years, anywhere from 20-50% drop depending on which inflation numbers you believe.

You will be lucky to get -1% real return for the next decade in the market, -5% is more likely.

If you take into account the fact that the dollar has lost 50% of its value, the "real" Dow is around 6000 or so and "real" S&P500 is around 700.
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