the withdraw from Somalia a few years back led directly to the current proxy war
when the current proxy spreads trouble around, and seeps into ethiopia, an effort several folds of magnitude more costly will have to be undertaken
failed state afghanistan that was left by the soviets led directly to 911 and the current intervention
a withdraw from iraq and afghanistan now will give rise to two failed states, one with oil and the other with opium
several years from now, should a withdraw happen now, interventions will will have to be attempted in iran and saudi arabia
bush and co, however moronic, is correct in determining that there is a war on, and the 911 raid brought same realization to all. the war has been on for some time, never priced in.
withdraw from two failed states will give new impetus to the war that was on before 911.
just a reasonable guess
as to why gold and why not oil/non-US. real estate, i am guessing that oil will likely rise, along with non-US real estate, for a while; but, when liquidity destruction starts to happen, due either financial accident triggering economic depression, or debt implosion setting off financial panic, or just a simple old fashioned monetary crisis, folks with money will want to get out of harms way, and not 'invest' in anything (commodities, real estate, anything puffed up by debt that is being destroyed) except the best kind of money ... and gold, silver, platinum, palladium all qualify, especially in a pinch, at the nick of time.
when one wants to invest, one can buy into all sorts of companies, activities, schemas, etc
when one wants to save ones capital ... only cash will do
when paper cash is not good enough ... only mineralized cash will do |