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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: John Vosilla who wrote (76938)1/2/2007 12:43:44 PM
From: benwood  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
John, you are comparing your specialized expertise in real estate with the stock market in general. Not only apples to oranges, but even your apples are special, hand picked imports.

I've no doubt there were many (hundreds or thousands perhaps) savvy investors who managed 30% from 1983 through 1999.

I've no doubt there are thousands who've managed your 30% on average from 1995 to now.

They are out on the bell curve, however, with the bubbles allowing more to achieve those kind of results.

There's a reason the payoffs can be greater. Plenty went belly up. And the past 15 years I believe has given many people the feeling that they are invincible. Many lost their feeling (along with their ass-ets) in 2000. Might even be a lot of burnt fingers in RE in the next few years.

I think those that are into rentals, however, if they know what they are doing, will fare better than most in RE for the next few years, since rental prices are on a big upleg in many areas right now.
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