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Politics : American Presidential Politics and foreign affairs
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To: Peter Dierks who wrote (16487)1/14/2007 1:55:59 AM
From: RMF  Read Replies (1) of 71588
 
Peter, that's all well and good and will probably work in the Sunni sections of Baghdad, but what's going to happen when our guys want to go after the Shiite militias in Sadr City?

There hasn't been ONE public comment from Maliki in support of this plan.

That's because he owes his political survival (and probably his life) to Sadr.

We've cleared Sunni neighborhoods before. I think we've cleared Haifa (sp) street about three times now. We'll probably clear (and hold) those Sunni areas for as long as we keep troops there. But we can't keep them there forever and the Iraqi Army and police are run by the Shiites and will eventually regain control. That will bring the death squads and ethnic cleansing right back.

When it comes to Sadr City, it's a whole different ballgame. We're gonna go in there with OUR guys and some Kurd Battalions (cause the regular Shiite army and police guys aren't gonna help) and our guys are gonna take casualties like never before. They aren't gonna meet us with force but they're gonna snipe us to death (they've got sniper rifles with silencers now) and hit us with IEDs and everything else.
If we try to hold ground in Sadr City our guys are gonna get picked off one or two or ten at a time.

The Shiites make up about 70% or so of the bottom 2/3rds of Iraq and they WANT to be in control. They aren't suddenly going to get all lovey dovey with the Sunnis that have been oppressing them for 300 years.

This whole thing is going to turn out badly no matter HOW much education Patraeus has.
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