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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Bill who wrote (217927)2/12/2007 3:43:13 PM
From: cnyndwllr  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Bill, re: It just seems it would be easier to cut off munitions supply lines than go door to door in Baghdad to flush out insurgents.

You need to examine your primary assumption.

The reality is that it's not possible to do either. America cannot "cut off munitions supply lines" or "flush out insurgents" in Baghdad. And that would remain true even if we were to ramp up our troop levels and increase our involvement ten fold or a hundred fold.

The world is a much more complex and a much bigger place than our limited minds can easily grasp. We can't readily find Osama, in part because there are 6 BILLION people in the world and each one occupies just a tiny, tiny piece of the earth's area.

We can't police the Iraqi borders because there are thousands of kilometers of borders to guard and some very clever men willing to cross them.

We can't "flush out" the guerillas because there are MILLIONS of people in Iraq and we have no way of knowing which of them are active insurgents, which of them are insurgent sympathisers and which of them really don't give a shit either way. We could line every one of them up in front of us and look into their smiling faces and we wouldn't know unless one of them tried to kill our buddy.

No matter how good or how bad their motives might be, leaders who fail to understand reality doom themselves, and those who serve them, to failure.

With 60+ percent of Iraqis agreeing that it's ok to kill Americans, we CAN fail in Iraq, we will fail in Iraq and we'd better find a way to limit our losses. Ed
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