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Technology Stocks : Motorola (MOT)
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To: slacker711 who wrote (2723)2/18/2007 12:50:03 PM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (2) of 3436
 
re: The real test for mobile WiMAX will be Sprint's rollout....

OK, seems like a good time to demonstrate my lack of knowledge.

I always assumed that WiMAX primary function would be to provide a cheaper alternative to relatively fixed broadband clients; home PC's, notebooks and eventually "TV servers". I never thought it was a great solution for mobile "phones". As a Blackberry user (maybe that's the problem) I really don't see a huge future for mobile entertainment or even mobile Internet... email yes but you don't need that much bandwidth as EDGE proves.

Example: I live in a nice subdivision of about 300 houses. The physical area could be covered by one WiMAX antenna. If the implementation became ubiquitous and cheap, I could see our Internet and cable TV being covered by a WiMAX solution and billed through our association. No more wires (and the subsequent digging up of my lawn every six months), just a receiver at each client in my house. Home phone service could be bundled in.

Am I smoking dope on this? Between cable TV/Internet and home phone service it's costing each house about $100 per month * 300 homes = $30K * 12 months = $360,000 per year. It seems to me that you could spend a lot on equipment especially if you amortized that $360K per year over 10 years.

Of course the cable and phone companies would be out of luck. Am I wrong that this is a disruptive technology? I bow to people with much more knowledge...

John
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