Javelyn: Overall, I can't disagree with your statements. Clearly until manufacturing capacity can meet demand there'll always be an "home" for alternative battery technologies. And since we all know how difficult the mass manufacture of Li-poly is, that rampup speed will be governed by the abilities of the players trying to crank them out.
So I agree NiMHd, Li-ion, etc., will survive for, if I was to guess, the next 10 years? However, in certain market sectors like cellphone, laptop and other's, I'd expect Li-poly to become the dominant energy sink, with that rise to dominance limited only by OEM's abilities to "corner" the available supply. Subject to manufacturing capacity constraints, and the manufacturers business tendency to, perhaps, not have all their production tied up by one OEM(the "all eggs in one basket" idea?). Just an opinion, of course.
Either way you choose to view it, VLNC, ULBI & others should do quite well over the next couple of years, eh?
Regards!
John~ |
