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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: neolib who wrote (224054)3/13/2007 11:55:58 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
Agreed, computer simulations can help you model a specific mechanism, such as airflow over airplane wings or the mechanics of global warming.

However, a model that shows how a mechanism works, given your working assumptions, does not in itself prove that your theory corresponds to reality. For that you need predictive power, and third party testing of the models so fudging is not allowed. A double blind study comparing two models where one gives random results would be good. It's often been pointed out that you could not get a drug approved with the methods the climate scientists have been using to show global warming.
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