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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Juniors, Mid-tiers and Producers

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To: tyc:> who wrote (35801)3/14/2007 8:46:07 AM
From: Mr. Aloha  Read Replies (1) of 78431
 
Yes -- If you think the market is pricing in country risk incorrectly, then you can make extra gains by taking on the risk others bypass as long as you end up being right. However, if you're wrong and a country confiscates your expected higher returns, you could lose everything. That's what makes a market.

The other factor to keep in mind is higher perceived country risk means financing is more difficult and less favorable, often requiring excessive hedging (e.g., Apex Silver's San Cristobal in Bolivia). Miners in perceived riskier countries are also less desirable as takeover candidates. These factors can make a significant impact on expected returns.

I'll stick primarily to North American miners and let others speculate on country risk elsewhere.
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