SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: mishedlo who wrote (64424)3/14/2007 8:57:52 AM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
Mish, one of these charts you posted had a H&S top on the civilian participation rate that targets 64.5%. The other chart I noticed, the unemployment chart, has a "mirror" pattern I've found very reliable. That pattern suggests 7.5-7.8% unemployment within 4-years, but more likely within 3-years.

This is in line with the my projections of the worst recession since the early 80's.

Here's your blog link I'm referencing.

globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

By the way, crash value suggests that whatever happens, the summer 2004 lows in the SPX, NDX, COMP, and Dow should hold going forward regardless of what happens. Sorry to rain on the superbears <G>
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext