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Strategies & Market Trends : Fibonacci Dynamics
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From: sammy™ -_-3/19/2007 9:28:10 PM
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Corporate profits have been one of the best forecasters of recessions, they are usually the 1st indicator of trouble, usually peaking a year before a recession officially happens. the U. S. Leading Economic Indicators Index does not include corporate profits in its list of 10 indicators. Corporate profits are released quarterly, and the U.S. Leading Economic Indicators comes out monthly, and so they can’t use corporate profits as an indicator, even though it’s better than most of the other business cycle statistics. Are Profits Peaking? Real corporate profits started falling before 2001-02 recession, then anticipated the recovery in 2002. Profits have been on a tear since 2002.

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