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Strategies & Market Trends : Lessons Learned

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From: Don Green	4/12/2007 10:51:44 PM
	of 923

The Stock Trader’s Almanac took a look at investing in the two different six month time frames and compounded $10,000 invested into the Dow Jones industrial average over the last 55 years. If the money was invested in the Dow in the "best six months" and then switched to fixed income in the "worst six months," it returned $489,933. If it was invested in the Dow during the "worst six" and moved to fixed income in the "best six," it lost $502. There are variations within that six month period for investing and returns. May is a crap shoot, alternately very strong or very weak. The third quarter (comprising the months of July through September) tends to be the worst of the year. Although past performance certainly doesn't determine future results, there are plenty of reasons to suggest that this year will follow the pattern. The bull market is aging, oil is near record highs again, gas is surging and it’s not even close to Memorial Day weekend yet - and the major gauges are at multi-year highs… all of which suggests a sell off could be on the horizon.

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