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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting
QCOM 164.53-0.4%Jan 14 3:59 PM EST

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To: BDAZZ who wrote (62641)4/14/2007 1:18:14 AM
From: Rick  Read Replies (2) of 197217
 
An oldie but goodie, coming in at number 9 on this thread. From 09/16/1996:

Jacobs's Patter:
An Inventor's Promise
Has Companies Taking
Big Cellular Gamble

---
Qualcomm Boss's Innovation
In Digital-Phone System
Is Problematic -- and Late
---
Are Claims Hope or Hype?
----

By Quentin Hardy
Staff Reporter of The Wall Street Journal

"....CDMA is the long-term solution for the cellular industry," says Dr. Jacobs, whose personal fortune as Qualcomm's biggest shareholder has grown to an estimated $150 million with the rise of the company.

A lot rides on whether Dr. Jacobs is right. His dazzling promises for CDMA -- coming from a famed scientist who won a National Medal of Technology from President Clinton in 1994 --steered many companies away from an already-established global standard widespread in Europe and Asia. Yet CDMA is more than three years late in coming to market, and it isn't clear it works any better than the existing standard. Dr. Jacobs is blamed by some experts for single-handedly putting the U.S. far behind in the global wireless-communications business, which analysts expect to be a $100 billion market within five years.

There is also a worst-case possibility: that CDMA doesn't work on the massive scale required, an outcome that would inflict billions of dollars of losses on the equipment makers and network operators that have bought into Dr. Jacobs's promises. That would cause more delays in the spread of digital-wireless phones in the U.S.; there are 16 million digital phones in Europe, compared with about 1.5 million in the U.S.

"They've got fundamental technical problems that they don't know how to solve," says Don Cox, a professor of electrical engineering at Stanford University. "There is no one in the business smarter than Irwin Jacobs, but smart guys make mistakes too." George Schmitt, president of Omnipoint Communications Inc. of Mountain Lakes, N.J., and a former chief executive of wireless giant PrimeCo Personal Communicatios LP of Westlake, Texas, says Dr. Jacobs "sold the market a lot more than he delivered."


- Rick
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