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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: orkrious who wrote (81124)4/24/2007 10:44:55 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
My friend is cooked.

sounds like he is just out 900K minus whatever he can get by foreclosing, which might be 100% of 900K if he is in a senior position since he never lent more than 30-40% LTV. if he was making 7 figures for years maybe he is just "sunburned", not cooked -g-.

what is cooked is the "stock" of his business, or the capitalized value of his income.

those other anecdotes make me wonder about the small American businessman. i wonder if he has increased his leverage over the years, just as public corporations and consumers have. i guess it stands to reason. if i was running a business, i would want as little leverage as possible. i assume that's how a lot of small businesses were run post-Depression (and of course that's how public cos were run).

maybe now the small business is highly leveraged and many will go BK once they are "stress-tested" in the real world.

the thing about Detroit is it's the most farked up big city in America (economywise). i think in order for that kind of stuff to be popping up like shrooms all over America, it will take another couple of years, and even then it will take a very bearish scenario.

if such a scenario unfolds, we may see the "fabric of our society" tested.
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