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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: michael97123 who wrote (229260)5/1/2007 3:58:08 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
I have believed for awhile that american departure will lead to more violence initially but i think things can be sorted out and i dont see it as an automatic victory at all for al quaeda in iraq

It would be an enormous victory for al Qaeda, because it would be claimed as one in propaganda. What happens on the ground matters less. Even if the Iraqis finish up their civil war and turn on al Qaeda and drive them out, it would still be an enormous al Qaeda victory. And I doubt the Iraqis would be able to drive al Qaeda out, because there will always be some weak, Salafi-inclined Sunni tribe for whom al Qaeda's help was well worth the price of submission they demanded.
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