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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index
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To: Jim McMannis who wrote (77857)5/19/2007 12:15:13 PM
From: Lizzie TudorRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
well, last july was something of a low point for stocks, last spring was quite terrible actually so the yearly returns for many stocks, now are pretty high. Apple for example, has more than doubled since July last year.

But looking at YTD, many stocks look like this:
finance.yahoo.com

we need a consistent high single digit or low double digit return to call it a bull market, for me. 04 and 05 were flat in other words a bear market (doesn't have anything to do with individual returns, 05 was a great market year for many on SI). 06 was a weak bull with close to a 10% rise in the S&P or average. Pretty weak considering the prior 2 years were flat which is not average. This year is still out. In the 90s the S&P went up 30% per year more than once. So to have 2 flat years in 04 and 05 followed by a single digit year in the indices, you are looking at less than passbook savings returns.

Again anybody can pick stocks though, that is not the criterion for a bull market, whether GOOG goes up, I mean.
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