SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : The Environmentalist Thread
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: longnshort who wrote (12781)5/20/2007 10:35:43 PM
From: neolib  Read Replies (1) of 36917
 
I'm not sure how complex, but they model El nino/nina, which is the solar activity cycle, and they do have cloud formation, but the big question with both is how they might shift as the average world temp shifts. As a 1st order, one could stick with static models for both, which might be fine if temps drift 1 or 2 degs higher, but then you would need adjustments for higher levels.

Nobody says the models are perfect, but they are not bad. Please look at how well Hansen's model did over the last 3 decades. That is what is quite impressive. You are basically arguing that such accuracy can't be. Yet you have an example showing it is. Would you claim that the same model cannot to about as well for the next 30 years. We have even better models now. Thats the point. Why don't you think the current models can't get within 5-10% over the next 30 years?
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News