#2 is not something that you can predict for sure, although I predict (even if I can't be absolutely sure) that you will continue to pretend that you can make such dependable predictions about complex changing events.
As for measurement you pick a few, not all. And many factors in wars are not easily measured. Deaths will go up when you get aggressive, the benefits only come later. You want measures about what effects of our current actions, you have to look months or years from now. (And even then you would have to compare them to something that you can't know, what would have happened had we not undertaken "the surge")
and predicting that if only we give another two FUs, things will change.
Some prediction made by someone else in the past has nothing to do with me. Its irrelevant, esp. since I'm not even making a prediction.
Now your not just engaging in ad-hominem, but ad-hominem by proxy. You think someone else said something foolish, or at least incorrect, then you try to paint me with their mistakes, and attack me for the mistakes. Its bad (and unreasonable) enough when you attack the person arguing with you rather then the arguments and ideas, but its particularly silly when your "argument" is neither addressing the points being discussed, nor the person discussing them, but third parities. |
