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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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From: stan_hughes6/15/2007 5:07:51 PM
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Next week's setup. Volcker likely to get some ink, that ought to be interesting.

Lifted from briefing.com late this afternoon -- the bolding is on my part --

Bond Watch: Scrappy Market Scrapes its Way Back (BONDX) : The market did some hard work today taking back some ground in corrective action with cautious trade which helped make volume spotty while the 10-yr led the show. The move better was solid early, but barely a blip against the backdrop of the prolonged sell-off going back to late Feb.

Trade was fueled by active spread trade as there was talk again of big west coasters buying 10-yrs against the 2's for decent size. The 10-&-30-yrs have been batted about pretty hard on the week & 10's remain near the worst level since mid-02 but have now kicked the yield back into the yr's range, while 2-yrs have stayed within the yr's range & 5-&-30-yrs backed up yields into their yr's range.

The event risk cupboard is pretty bare next week, which is rarely good for treasury prices but they handled some bond negative news fairly well on the day, & golly-gee there is no inflation...unless you're driving for food. Technicians are calling for some consolidation in the week ahead. The curve worked flatter as some unwinds wound through the spreads, but pushed back into a steeper pose the last hour taking the 2-10-yr yield spread out at 13.4.

The dollar was pinched by strength in the euro & pound while the yen weakened netting the buck a mixed session. Spot gold is up at +655.25 (+3.30) while crude oil pushed up to 68.09 (+0.44). Next week is light via the data calendar with just housing, leading indicators & Philly Fed. The Fed has Boston's Minehan on Mon & former-former chief Volcker on Tues. The euro is at 1.3381 & the yen is at 123.4525 & the 10-yr yield is at 5.163%.
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