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Strategies & Market Trends : The coming US dollar crisis

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To: Real Man who wrote (287)6/29/2007 9:08:57 PM
From: stan_hughes  Read Replies (3) of 71426
 
Just to play devil's advocate, I will toss a bull case defense at you that I read yesterday -- oldprof.typepad.com

Now that blog entry may not align with your or my view as to how much systemic risk is baked into existing asset prices, but it does offer some perspective as to who might be buying this market and what logic they're using to justify it to themselves.

To be perfectly honest I was kind of hoping they would have a better argument to put forth than the Fed Model, but there you have it. The issue of whether the Fed model can become even more theoretically undervalued whilst you get bled dry waiting for it to re-align (or be discredited) is not addressed.

In the final analysis I guess it comes to down to what you've said before, i.e. it will likely take the overwhelming of the Fed itself to bring the house down. Hard to believe that's going to happen next week or next month or even perhaps next year, but to quote an appropriate Chinese proverb, "long journey begin with single step"
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