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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: MythMan who wrote (337678)7/2/2007 10:23:21 AM
From: Real Man  Read Replies (1) of 436258
 
A part of the back room called securities lending -g-


I guess they are still a bit afraid to print outright.
These are all April/May coupon passes
ny.frb.org
Count 3 months from the first coupon pass, and that's the time
liquidity is eaten (an empirical observation) and a minor
correction starts. The end of the minor correction usually
coincides with the first coupon pass of the next series, and
some other liquidity supplied by the treasury.
(Actually, the biggest up days occured 1 day in
advance of the coupon pass during late Greenspan era, now
I think they more or less coincide; I guess nobody
tips the right people anymore -ggg-)
That's when the Fed decides the market has declined enough already.
Well, the Fed stopped outright printing in the beginning of
May, and it's about 3 months from the start of the last
liquidity campaign, so we should have a correction. But
it is wrong to think the Fed won't print again - it's
their job. To protect against inflation, of course -g-
BK will only come once the Fed does not matter.
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