New US Economy Policy Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : New US Economy Policy

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From: Arthur Tang	7/5/2007 9:06:49 AM
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The economy peaks out during the Xmas season. But the shipment from factory to warehouses are done before November 15 each year. The productivity each year is planned in October, so that next year the manufacturers are lean and mean for more business. Restructuring therefore is done only at the end of October, making sure that last minute business surge is still done with this year's organization. Once restructuring is planned in IT departments, the expense of the new build up is spent in the first quarter of next year, when consumers are busy paying back credit card loans. Industry is rebuilding for more capacity, which may end up in the summer months. And the cycle repeats itself. So far so good. Reminders(restructuring) will go out in September; for durable goods sector, currently discounting 10% to clear inventory. The food industry will be busy working out new labor saving recipes in new packages, frozen, canned or sealed in plastic containers. Fashion industry will be doing Spring fashion two seasons ahead to get inventory built. Autos will have new models ready October 1. Housing will be ready for delivery before winter comes and mortgage closing will need favorable fixed rates. We will be busy in October? Wall street will be stabilized by large sums ready at the Feds overnight discount window in case of liquidity shortages. Currently, did the stop gap on Bear Stearns($3.2 billion loan out of $4 billion ready). Not much changes each year, from year to year; unless Alan Greenspan(he's gone) screwed up.

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