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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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From: Alighieri	7/19/2007 2:03:39 PM
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If We Pulled Out Of Iraq Powered by BlogBurst POSTED: Thursday, July 19, 2007 FROM BLOG: Donklephant - A centrist political blog for the other 75% The following blog post is from an independent writer and is not connected with Reuters News. The opinions and views expressed herein are those of the author and are not endorsed by Reuters.com. There would be blood. But there could also be a lot of benefits and the division of a state that has begged to be split into thirds since it was unwisely joined by the British. From Seattle PI: WASHINGTON — If U.S. combat forces withdraw from Iraq in the near future, three developments would be likely to unfold: • Majority Shiites would drive Sunnis out of ethnically mixed areas west to Anbar province. • Southern Iraq would erupt in civil war between Shiite groups. • The Kurdish north would solidify its borders and invite a U.S. troop presence there. In short, Iraq would effectively become three separate nations. That was the conclusion reached in recent “war games” exercises conducted for the U.S. military by retired Marine Col. Gary Anderson. Here’s the thing. There’s going to be violence when we leave eventually anyway. That’s going to happen. And us sticking around is not going to make these warring factions love each other any more. Our credibility as a whole is shot over there. I’m not talking about the men and women on the ground who have strong ties to the community. I’m talking about the head honchos who are calling the shots. And ultimately if the politicians can’t get along, it doesn’t matter how good your street to street community relations are. Iraqis are going to have to go through a period of intense civil strife to realize democracy. I’m now more convinced of this than ever. And here’s a key finding… The games also predicted that Iran would intervene on one side of a Shiite civil war and would become bogged down in southern Iraq. That certainly wouldn’t be a bad thing. And while all of this should be viewed with a skeptical eye, people have been saying for a while now that the only way Iraq is going to survive is if the country no longer exists. Saddam was one of the only things really holding the country together, and now that he’s gone we should just let nature take its course.

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