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Strategies & Market Trends : Can you beat 50% per month?

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To: Smiling Bob who wrote (11396)8/3/2007 4:06:52 AM
From: Smiling Bob  Read Replies (2) of 19256
 
Without a doubt. Back down to 13200 at least today
Message 23757078
Mortgage mkt tightening in WSJ
Message 23758202
A nasty bubble popping
Message 23758230
Plenty of HB short ops still
Message 23756352

Despite Asian and overseas markets being mostly up as of this posting, watch the US mkt tumble today. Overseas and US companies reporting great earnings, but it doesn't matter. Credit woes are spreading like wildfire. The mortgage market has taken a complete 180, making credit very expensive and difficult to obtain. Same is becoming true for all credit

AHM closing shop more fodder. Nobody will be looking to stay heroically long for the weekend.

finance.yahoo.com

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DJ HIgher-Rated Slices Of The ABX Derivative Index Fall Sharply

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By Anusha Shrivastava
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES


NEW YORK(Dow Jones)--The higher-rated slices of the ABX indexes fell sharply Thursday on continued concerns about subprime problems.

While the riskiest slices of the indexes have been under pressure for several weeks now, market participants had said they expected the better-rated rungs of the index not to succumb as easily to pressure from investors seeking credit protection. The price of the index falls when investors buy protection against losses due to delinquencies and defaults on home loans.

The AAA-rated tranche of the ABX index based on loans from the second half of 2006 is down to 89.5 points from 92 points on Wednesday, according to a primary dealer.

"The market is very skittish," said Norman Cerk, partner at hedge fund Balestra Capital in Chicago. "The upper tranches are down more than the lower tranches," he said

The AA-rated slice of the index based on loans from the second half of 2006 is quoted at 71 cents, down from its close of 77 cents on Wednesday, according to Derrick Wulf of Dwight Asset Management. Its counterpart from the previous index is quoted at 80 cents, also down from a close of 86 cents.

Liquidity is "not that good," Wulf said.

The ABX indexes act as a barometer of investor's opinions on the potential performance of subprime loans.

The riskiest BBB-minus tranche for the ABX index based on second half 2006 home loans stood at 38 cents, virtually unchanged from Wednesday. This rung of the ABX has suffered the most as a result of the deterioration of subprime mortgages, but in recent weeks the upper reaches of the index have come under pressure.

-By Anusha Shrivastava, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-2371; anusha.shrivastava@dowjones.com


(END) Dow Jones Newswires

August 02, 2007 15:07 ET (19:07 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2007 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.- - 03 07 PM EDT 08-02-07
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