Yes, Blitz, surf's may be up, I give da 50% BK a 25% chance at this point. So, 75% chance we see new all time highs soon, 25% chance we see all-time lows soon (Yes, below 2002, big quake could be coming). Yes, da lows play is more risk, but a lot more reward too -ggg- Taking out 200 MA for da dow could result in free fall. Have to play in the money calls for da rise (reversal to mean), way OOM puts for da drop (da big fat tail).
It's a random walk, except for the tail we are in, which is to the downside -ggg- 300 point clustered moves for the dow after 5 years of 50-point moves is not bullish, this is seismic activity of a large volcano. -g-
P.S. My downside target is lower than yours -g- |