Smackdown: Larry David, or Steven Segal?
No promises... No blood-oaths... No guarantees. ...after all -- this is free. And I ain't ever been a big fan of free....but, we'll give it a shot.
My schedule is becoming more normalized, with less travel, more home office time...and Sunday nights look workable going forward.
So I will do my very best to try to return to our regularly scheduled programing... and do a weekly "Sunday Night Smackdown."
I'll be using a week in review format, along with an occasional rant and an outside the box idea, or two.
We'll feature some charts, along with some picks and pans. We're also going to try to do something new.
We're going to not only ask for opposing views, we're going to encourage and foster it.
So, let's try Sunday nights... 9 p.m. EST (New York time).
The theme of this weeks Smackdown is:
"Curb Your Enthusiasm."
I know, I know, I know...
"Curb" your enthusiasm?
After this week?
What happened to the pom-poms, the marching band and victory cigars?
Well, let me tell you what happened...
What happened is that we won a few rounds. No more, no less. Like I said before -- you must be prepared to fight, for your right, to this bottom.
And make no mistake about it -- this is a 15 rounder. A championship, title fight. No 10 rounder, and definitely not a 5 round exhibition, or a 3 round tune up.
Here's another mistake not to make...
Respect your opponent. Because you are in the ring with Mike Tyson in his prime. Not a sparring partner.
So save the victory cigars, put the pom-poms back on the shelf and don't schedule the marching band just yet.
Sticking with the boxing methaphor...
Great fighters always have a gameplan. They've studied their opponent. They've watched film, know tendacies, strengths and weaknesses. They know their opponent inside out.
But, most gameplans quickly come to an end the first time you get caught on the ropes, or take one on the chin.
The ability to change tactics, to know when to cover up, when to rope-a-dope...and when to unleash a flurry and move in for the knockout...are the tactics that separate contenders from pretenders.
So tomorrow night's Sunday Night Smackdown will be about trading tactics.
This week we borrowed tactics from Steven Segal's Martial Art style of Akkido.
Akkido is based around using your opponents momentum against them. And that's exactly what we did (along with a little help from Gentle Ben).
Thanks to the no up-tick rule...shorts barreled in full throttle with massive momentum. That momentum was then used against them.
One hole in the shorts gameplan was in under-estimating the weapons that the Fed, the Treasury and the PPT have available to them.
Talk about getting the most bang for your buck... Bernanke's tactic's and his timing were brilliant. I think even the bulls have to give him a nod for that.
Anyway...I'm going to invite someone I have great respect for here on SI to share his recap of what he saw this week and what he sees going forward.
It's Jim P.
Now this is short notice...and he's had no advance notice, I'm going to PM him right after I sign off writing this post, and ask him to share his thoughts on - the week that was.
I'd like you ask of you to encourage Jim to share his views... so post your thoughts publically, or PM him if you'd like to hear more from Jim.
This is a great opportunity to turn the tide of this thread to what I've always hoped it could be. A thread featuring intelligent macro analysis and discussion on the broad market...and specifically, on the commodity and precious metals sectors.
I'm not looking to turn this into a day-trading thread, filled with pseudo calls based on nothing but testosterone laden, wannabe one-upmanship.
If that's what you want... there are plenty of threads on SI where you can find that. We'll use a "3-strikes" and you're out "ban" policy here. 3-days in the penalty box for offenses such as petty personal attacks and general disruptions...and instant permanent bans for anyone using multiple screen names and popping up with a new alias directly into the middle of an on-going broo-ha-haa. No time for that... and no tolerance going forward...and yes, Ron that means you too.
...last warning.
'nuff said.
And as far as "curbing your enthusiasm" I'd encourage anyone who is feeling "too big for their britches" here to re-read these great posts from jimp:
Message 23328874 Message 23329489 Message 23760215 Message 23762339 Message 23768912 Message 23784625
There was money made in both directions over the last couple of weeks and there's always more than one road to the top.
Jim and I actually agree on many things. The debate is not about who's right, or who's wrong... the debate is about THINKING. It's about respecting your opponent and seeing all possible outcomes and not becoming tied emotionally to one tunnel-visioned view of the market.
Viva le' difference...
And don't forget to send jimp a PM, or post publically here to encourage him to share his thoughts and views Sunday night -- if he has time.
'till then,
SOTB |