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Politics : Welcome to Slider's Dugout

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From: SliderOnTheBlack8/19/2007 9:44:40 PM
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Perspective on Subprime & Foreclosures:

Here's a graphic that I think puts things in perspective:



While I'm not saying that financials and particulary,
the subprime sector weren't due for a significant haircut
(no one could have been more bearish on subprime than I've been),
I think forced selling always leads to trading
opportunities.

I always mention discrepancies between price and risk.
Here's a picture (chart) that shows it, better than
words explain it...

I want to find companies/stocks that have significantly
outperformed their peers and the market over the longterm:


But, who get oversold during this chaos in the nearterm:


And then who will hopefully revert to their longterm
outperformance once the dust settles.

The great thing about this volatility is that
by selling deep out of the money puts... you
got paid double digit/$10+ premiums for being
willing to take in GS if the selloff deepend.

These amounted to 6% to 8% premiums that got banked
on the September expiration. And I've still got
some rich double digit premiums hanging out from
October to Jan... which pays me well to be willing
to buy GS from $130 to $150 should that strike be
seen.

SOTB
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