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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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From: Dale Baker9/13/2007 6:47:44 PM
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Former Va. Gov. Warner Makes it Official
In Video Announcement on Web Site, Warner Says He'll Run for U.S. Senate Seat Vacated by Rep. John W. Warner

By Tim Craig and Amy Gardner
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, September 13, 2007; 2:54 PM

RICHMOND, Sept. 13 -- Former Virginia governor Mark R. Warner announced today that he is running for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Republican John W. Warner, setting the stage for one of the most competitive races in the country next year.

Warner, 52, a self-described moderate Democrat, made his announcement in an e-mail and video message to supporters Thursday. Sources familiar with his decision said he would not formally begin his campaign until after the state legislative races in November.

"Six years ago, we brought a bipartisan agenda of change to Virginia. It's time to bring that same approach to Washington and our nation," Warner said in his message.

Democrats in Virginia and nationally have been courting Warner in the hope that his entry in next year's race would help them retain their majority in the Senate. If Warner succeeded, Virginia would have two Democratic senators for the first time since 1970.

"Our country is at a crossroads," Warner said on the video. "We're dealing with a mismanaged war. Our stature in the world is declining. We have no national competitiveness plan, and no thoughtful approach on energy policy that would actually create jobs, make us more secure in the world and that deals with the threat of climate change."

Republicans were ready for the announcement. In an e-mail and video message, the National Republican Senatorial Committee described Warner as "once failed Senate candidate, former presidential candidate and still VP hopeful" and accused him of breaking his promise to Virginians that he wouldn't raise taxes.

"Make no mistake about it, Mark Warner is a politician who can't be trusted to keep his promises to voters," NRS communications director Rebecca Fisher said in the e-mail message. "And his prime example is raising Virginians' taxes by $1.38 billion."

Republicans say they will fight hard to keep the Virginia seat, and political observers say more than $30 million could be spent on television and other advertisements as both parties battle in the key race. It will be the first Virginia race for U.S. Senate without an incumbent candidate since 1988.

A Warner victory next year would be demoralizing to Virginia Republicans, who were surprised by James Webb's win in last year's U.S. Senate race and Timothy M. Kaine's election as governor in 2005 over well-known GOP candidates.

Warner could face Rep. Thomas M. Davis III or former governor James S. Gilmore III. Both are likely to seek the Republican nomination, but neither is expected to announce plans until after the Nov. 6 state elections.

Davis declined to comment Wednesday, when reports of Warner's decision surfaced, saying he would make a statement later. . Gilmore said that he is interested in the race and that Warner's decision would not affect his, adding: "Sending a Democrat to the United States Senate at this very critical time is not the best policy."

Warner has appeared eager in recent days to run for the Senate. He plans to present himself to voters as a problem solver who would be willing to cross party lines to push bipartisan changes in Washington.

If he won, he would have a national platform to talk about fiscal responsibility, ending the war in Iraq and reshaping the country's energy policy.

Rep. James P. Moran Jr. (D-Va.) said Warner has been doing his homework, meeting with figures such as Lee H. Hamilton, co-chairman of the Iraq Study Group and Sept. 11 commission.

"Mark met the challenge of running a state very well," Moran said. "I think he's anxious to take on some new challenges."

Warner decided to formally reveal his decision electronically because he doesn't want his announcement to upstage the fall campaign for control of the General Assembly.

He plans to campaign heavily for legislative candidates as Democrats try to retake the state Senate and make inroads in the House of Delegates.

Warner, a wealthy venture capitalist who founded Nextel, also plans to start raising the millions of dollars he will need for a competitive race, the sources said. His friends and advisers say he will slowly begin assembling a campaign team, too.

Warner stunned supporters last fall when he abruptly ended his exploratory campaign for president, citing the strain on his family. He also has been mentioned as a vice presidential candidate next year, but the decision to run for Senate all but eliminates that possibility.

He agonized for weeks over whether to run for Senate or seek his old job in 2009. Virginia governors are barred from succeeding themselves.

A self-described executive, Warner loved being governor and often called it "the best job in America."

While in office, Warner helped close a multibillion-dollar budget deficit by trimming the size of government and pushing through a $1.5 billion tax increase. He also oversaw the state's efforts to catch the Washington area sniper in 2002 and its response to Hurricane Isabel in 2003.

But Warner was under tremendous pressure from national Democratic leaders to run for the Senate after John Warner announced two weeks ago that he would not seek reelection.

In recent weeks, Mark Warner has had several conversations with Sen. Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.), chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.

In 1996, Warner came within five percentage points of defeating John Warner, in part because he ran surprisingly strongly for a Democrat in rural areas.

Uncertainty about Virginia's political environment in 2009 also played a role in Mark Warner's decision, his advisers say.

Although Virginia has elected two Democratic governors in a row, it remains relatively conservative. Warner wasn't convinced that voters would embrace his candidacy in 2009, especially if there is a Democratic president, his advisers say.

Even if he won the governor's race, some advisers cautioned that he might not enjoy the job as much the second time.

"It's very hard to have a second act that's equally successful," said Robert D. Holsworth, a political science professor at Virginia Commonwealth University in Richmond. "If he's interested in contributing to the national debate, this will give him an opportunity."

Warner's decision might have come down to what he thought was best for his family. If he were elected to the Senate, his wife and three daughters wouldn't have to move from Alexandria.

Warner has one public event Thursday, a roast this evening of Lionell Spruill Sr. in Chesapeake, Va.
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