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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker, Moneytalk and Marketimer

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To: davidk555 who wrote (1030)9/20/2007 11:59:40 AM
From: Elmer PhudRead Replies (1) of 2121
 
I also must give you kudos for predicting that Bob wouldn't discuss his retroactive designation of the end of the secular bear market theory.

Have you ever been through an earthquake? You don't know when it's over until afterwards. Would you call that retroactively declaring the earthquake is over? Fact is you need a little time for the dust to clear, figuratively speaking, to know it's passed. Same thing for a secular bear. Bob's timing model isn't perfect and I don't think he's ever claimed it to be. It just gives us an advantage in predicting future directions. Does it matter if it's a cyclical bull or a secular bull? Would his advice be any different? Would you invest differently? The only question in mind is why doesn't he mention it?

How about a useful discussion? You said you thought you had Bob's timing model mostly figured out. Would you mind sharing your thoughts?
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