Boca Pete said: "The issue is June 5, 2007 on Page 3 - the third paragraph! That was the issue in which he first reported the end of the Securlar Bear."
Pete...please excuse me, but I think you may have gotten confused somewhere between your first post, my question to you or your follow-up answer to me.
Here is your originally post #1045:
"I remember reading in a recent Marketimer letter that secular trends are not relevant because all of Bob's market calls are made on a cyclical basis."
In post #1077, I wrote to you:
"I do not recall ever reading in markettimer where Bob Brinker claimed what he wrote about secular trends (in dozens of market timer's) was irrelevant.
Would you please post the date of the issue where you read that. I would like to see it for myself."
In post #1111, you wrote:
"NO! I will make no such post!
I heard that Ginseng Tea helps improve memory. It might be worth a try."
In post #1112, I replied to you:
"My conclusion is that Brinker did not write in any of his newsletters what you claimed he wrote. There is no reason you can't post the date of an issue. I'm not asking you to quote it.
That's okay. You aren't the first person that I've made eat his words about Bob Brinker." 8^)
Now you tell me the issue where Brinker RETROACTIVELY declared the end of his so-called secular bear megatrend. I hate to tell you this, Pete, but that's NO NEWSFLASH to me. I've been aware that he said that since June and I can prove it because I have quoted the paragraph he BURIED on "Page 3, Paragraph 3...
So I ask again: What issue did Brinker say that "secular trends are not relevant?" If he actually said that, then I submit that the man is a liar of the worst kind.
I will grant you that Brinker did some fancy footwork to distance himself from his house of "secular bear" cards by claiming that his model portfolio is based solely on "cyclical trends."
To which, I say HOGWASH! If that is so, why did he write this in May 2006--one month before he NOW claims a "secular bear" ended?
May 2006 "Marketimer," Bob Brinker said, "The current cyclical bull market, which in our view is unusual in terms of its length, has had to battle the headwinds of the secular bear megatrend that began in the first quarter of Year 2000. ...........by definition, the secular bear megatrend will continue as long as the S&P 500 Index is unable to achieve a significant breakthrough of its March, 2000 historic high. We estimate the likely duration of this secular bear megatrend within a broad range of eight to twenty years, and we are now into year seven."
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